Understanding the risks: Retirement success depends on more than just how much you've saved. Inflation erodes purchasing power, taxes reduce actual income, and the sequence of investment returns can dramatically affect outcomes. This calculator quantifies these risks.
Retirement Risk Factor Inputs
Analyze Risk Factors
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Real (Inflation-Adjusted) Withdrawal Rate
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Nominal Withdrawal Rate
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Before inflation adjustment
Tax-Adjusted Return
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After-tax investment return
Real Net Return
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After tax and inflation
Net Annual Income
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After taxes
Real Purchasing Power (Yr 10)
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Of today's withdrawal
Real Purchasing Power (Yr 20)
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Of today's withdrawal
Withdrawal Sustainability Risk
Low Risk (Under 3%)
Moderate (3-5%)
High Risk (Over 5%)
Sequence of Returns Risk
Two portfolios with the same average return can produce wildly different outcomes depending on when the good and bad years occur.
Key Insight: --
Historical Bad-Timing Scenarios
What would have happened if you retired at the start of a major market downturn? Click each scenario to see its impact on your portfolio.
Inflation Erosion Over Time
What your fixed withdrawal amount can actually buy over the decades.